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11
Military Strikes
21
Oil
Iran Regime
Ceasefire
Hormuz
10
Regional Spillover
US-Iran
11
Iran Strikes Israel
Reza Pahlavi
7
Lebanon
3
Nuclear
Israel x Iran
Kurds
Iran
Iran
All
Military Strikes
Oil
Iran Regime
Ceasefire
Hormuz
Regional Spillover
US-Iran
Iran Strikes Israel
Reza Pahlavi
Lebanon
Nuclear
Israel x Iran
Kurds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
16%
chance
Yes
No
$69.8M Vol.
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
September 30
79%
Yes
79%
No
21%
October 31
70%
Yes
70%
No
30%
$4.7M Vol.
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
September 30
93%
Yes
93%
No
7%
October 31
56%
Yes
56%
No
44%
November 30
38%
Yes
38%
No
62%
December 31
34%
Yes
34%
No
66%
$4.2M Vol.
Will Iran target Qatar by...?
October 31
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
September 30
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$144k Vol.
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?
September 28
59%
Yes
59%
No
41%
September 27
49%
Yes
49%
No
51%
September 29
32%
Yes
32%
No
68%
September 30
32%
Yes
32%
No
68%
$116k Vol.
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?
October 31
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
September 30
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$93k Vol.
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?
96%
chance
Yes
No
$92k Vol.
Will Iran target Jordan by...?
100%
chance
Yes
No
$84k Vol.
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
October 31
62%
Yes
62%
No
38%
September 30
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
$55k Vol.
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
100%
chance
Yes
No
$50k Vol.
Will Iran target Jordan by...?
31%
chance
Yes
No
$48k Vol.
Will Iran target Oman by...?
October 31
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
September 30
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$43k Vol.
Will Iran target Syria by...?
October 31
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
September 30
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$41k Vol.
Will Iran target Jordan by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$41k Vol.
Houthis target Saudi Arabia by...?
September 30
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
October 31
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
$31k Vol.
Will Iran target Egypt by...?
October 31
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
September 30
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$31k Vol.
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
100%
chance
Yes
No
$27k Vol.
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
98%
chance
Yes
No
$23k Vol.
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
34%
chance
Yes
No
$14k Vol.
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?
October 31
42%
Yes
42%
No
58%
September 30
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
$13k Vol.
Will Iran target Iraq by...?
October 31
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
September 30
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
$12k Vol.
Will Iran target Jordan by...?
October 31
61%
Yes
61%
No
39%
September 30
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
$8k Vol.
Houthi military action against Mecca by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
October 31
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
September 30
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$5k Vol.
Will Iran target Bahrain by...?
11%
chance
Yes
No
$3k Vol.
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?
December 31
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
October 31
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
September 30
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$3k Vol.
Will Iran target Kuwait by...?
20%
chance
Yes
No
$2k Vol.
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