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Geopolitics
Geopolitics
All
Iran
Oil
Ukraine
Ukraine Map
Cuba
Venezuela
Middle East
Gaza
Israel
Syria
Yemen
Turkey
Sudan
China
Thailand-Cambodia
India-Pakistan
Netanyahu out by...?
40%
chance
Yes
No
$124.4M Vol.
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
4
78%
Yes
78%
No
22%
5
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
6
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
7
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
10
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
8
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$7.6M Vol.
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$4.1M Vol.
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$3.5M Vol.
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
March 31
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
December 31
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
October 31
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
September 30
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$1.4M Vol.
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$945k Vol.
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
24%
chance
Yes
No
$458k Vol.
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$445k Vol.
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$309k Vol.
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$240k Vol.
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$200k Vol.
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$186k Vol.
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$91k Vol.
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$71k Vol.
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?
October 31
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
September 30
15%
Yes
15%
No
85%
$16k Vol.
Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?
<20
35%
Yes
35%
No
65%
22-23
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
24-25
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
26-27
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
30+
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
20-21
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
$10k Vol.
Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?
6-7
52%
Yes
52%
No
48%
4-5
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
<4
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
8-9
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
10+
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$8k Vol.
Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?
4
32%
Yes
32%
No
68%
5
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
6
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
<4
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
7
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
8+
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$8k Vol.
Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?
7-8
67%
Yes
67%
No
33%
9-10
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
<7
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
11+
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$7k Vol.
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$7k Vol.
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?
<4
62%
Yes
62%
No
38%
4-6
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
7-9
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
10+
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$6k Vol.
Israel Election: Shas # of seats?
8-9
39%
Yes
39%
No
61%
6-7
24%
Yes
24%
No
76%
10-11
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
12+
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
<6
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
$5k Vol.
Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?
8-9
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
6-7
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
10+
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
4-5
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
<4
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$5k Vol.
Israel Election: Together # of seats?
11-13
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
14-16
24%
Yes
24%
No
76%
<8
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
8-10
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
20+
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
17-19
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$4k Vol.
Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?
8-9
37%
Yes
37%
No
63%
6-7
24%
Yes
24%
No
76%
10-11
24%
Yes
24%
No
76%
<6
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
12+
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$3k Vol.
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?
6-7
41%
Yes
41%
No
59%
8-9
37%
Yes
37%
No
63%
<6
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
12+
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
10-11
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
$3k Vol.
Israel Election: Dems # of seats?
<8
29%
Yes
29%
No
71%
10-11
27%
Yes
27%
No
73%
8-9
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
12-13
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
14+
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$2k Vol.
Israel Election: Yashar vote share?
18-20%
41%
Yes
41%
No
59%
16-18%
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
20-22%
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
<16%
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
24%+
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
22-24%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$710 Vol.
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