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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$42.9M Vol.
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$1.1M Vol.
Jimmy Lai released by...?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$386k Vol.
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
October 31
83%
Yes
83%
No
17%
September 30
77%
Yes
77%
No
23%
$278k Vol.
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$219k Vol.
China coup attempt before 2027?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$159k Vol.
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$106k Vol.
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?
December 31
67%
Yes
67%
No
33%
September 30
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$103k Vol.
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
15s+
66%
Yes
66%
No
34%
10–15s
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
6–10s
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
2–6s
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
No Handshake
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
<2s
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$99k Vol.
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$50k Vol.
Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?
December 31
91%
Yes
91%
No
9%
September 30
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$49k Vol.
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