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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
61%
Yes
61%
No
39%
R Senate, D House
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
Republicans Sweep
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
D Senate, R House
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Other
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$14.4M Vol.
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
93%
Yes
93%
No
7%
Republican Party
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
$12.4M Vol.
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
63%
Yes
63%
No
37%
Republican Party
38%
Yes
38%
No
62%
$5.3M Vol.
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤47
36%
Yes
36%
No
64%
48
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
49
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
50
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
51
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
52
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$3.0M Vol.
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
22–23
38%
Yes
38%
No
62%
24–25
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
<22
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
26–27
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
28–29
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
30–31
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$697k Vol.
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Florida
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
Texas
98%
Yes
98%
No
2%
California
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
Ohio
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
North Carolina
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
Louisiana
93%
Yes
93%
No
7%
$414k Vol.
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Below 190
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
195-199
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
190-194
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
205-209
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
200-204
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
210-214
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
$313k Vol.
Florida Governor Election Winner
Byron Donalds (R)
80%
Yes
80%
No
20%
David Jolly (D)
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
$225k Vol.
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$179k Vol.
CA-28 House Election Winner
Judy Chu (D)
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
April Verlato (R)
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$141k Vol.
Georgia Governor Election Winner
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)
52%
Yes
52%
No
48%
Rick Jackson (R)
46%
Yes
46%
No
54%
$132k Vol.
VA-06 House Election Winner
Ben Cline (R)
93%
Yes
93%
No
7%
Beth Macy (D)
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
$118k Vol.
FL-01 House Election Winner
Jimmy Patronis (R)
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
Gay Valimont (D)
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$118k Vol.
MS-01 House Election Winner
Trent Kelly (R)
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
Cliff Johnson (D)
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$118k Vol.
CA-16 House Election Winner
Sam Liccardo (D)
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
Peter Soulé (R)
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$107k Vol.
OK-03 House Election Winner
Frank Lucas (R)
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
Suzie Byrd (D)
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$105k Vol.
WI-02 House Election Winner
Mark Pocan (D)
98%
Yes
98%
No
2%
Republican Party
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$103k Vol.
Arizona Governor Election Winner
Katie Hobbs (D)
89%
Yes
89%
No
11%
Andy Biggs (R)
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
$88k Vol.
MI-11 House Election Winner
Jeremy Moss (D)
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
Ethan Baker (R)
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$81k Vol.
AL-07 House Election Winner
Terri Sewell (D)
98%
Yes
98%
No
2%
Ammie Akin (R)
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$80k Vol.
Blue wave in 2026?
84%
chance
Yes
No
$77k Vol.
LA-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party
93%
Yes
93%
No
7%
Democratic Party
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$75k Vol.
KS-04 House Election Winner
Ron Estes (R)
93%
Yes
93%
No
7%
Katy Tyndell (D)
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$72k Vol.
NY-21 House Election Winner
Anthony Constantino (R)
78%
Yes
78%
No
22%
Blake Gendebien (D)
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
$71k Vol.
VA-05 House Election Winner
John McGuire (R)
83%
Yes
83%
No
17%
Tom Perriello (D)
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
$70k Vol.
OH-06 House Election Winner
Michael Rulli (R)
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
Elizabeth Kirtley (D)
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$69k Vol.
AL-05 House Election Winner
Dale Strong (R)
95%
Yes
95%
No
5%
Andrew Sneed (D)
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$67k Vol.
VA-09 House Election Winner
Morgan Griffith (R)
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
Joy Powers (D)
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$66k Vol.
FL-26 House Election Winner
Mario Díaz-Balart (R)
91%
Yes
91%
No
9%
Nicole Locklin (D)
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
$66k Vol.
AL-02 House Election Winner
Rhett Marques (R)
74%
Yes
74%
No
26%
Shomari Figures (D)
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
$65k Vol.
CA-50 House Election Winner
Scott Peters (D)
95%
Yes
95%
No
5%
Steve Cohen (R)
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$65k Vol.
MD-01 House Election Winner
Andy Harris (R)
90%
Yes
90%
No
10%
Dan Schwartz (D)
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
$63k Vol.
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