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Trump
Trump Daily
Midterms
Global Elections
Featured
Congress
Trump Cabinet
Courts
Epstein
government shutdown
India Elections
Colombia Elections
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France Elections
depec us elections
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Korea
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Brazil
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Venezuela
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Judy Shelton
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Michelle Bowman
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Scott Bessent
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Jerome Powell
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Christopher Waller
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Rick Reider
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$55.2M Vol.
Fed Decision in October?
25 bps increase
68%
Yes
68%
No
32%
No change
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
50+ bps increase
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
25 bps decrease
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
50+ bps decrease
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$11.2M Vol.
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$10.8M Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 31, 2027
73%
Yes
73%
No
27%
November 30, 2027
70%
Yes
70%
No
30%
October 31, 2027
65%
Yes
65%
No
35%
September 30, 2027
64%
Yes
64%
No
36%
August 31, 2027
61%
Yes
61%
No
39%
July 31, 2027
57%
Yes
57%
No
43%
$8.0M Vol.
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 31
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
September 30
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
$6.5M Vol.
Epstein client list released by...?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$4.4M Vol.
US strike on Mexico by...?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$3.5M Vol.
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$2.9M Vol.
Will Alberta join the US?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$2.2M Vol.
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
16%
chance
Yes
No
$2.2M Vol.
Kash Patel out by...?
December 31
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
September 30
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$1.7M Vol.
Trump out as President by September 30?
0%
chance
Yes
No
$1.7M Vol.
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$1.4M Vol.
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Markwayne Mullin
37%
Yes
37%
No
63%
Dan Scavino
29%
Yes
29%
No
71%
Kristi Noem
29%
Yes
29%
No
71%
Howard Lutnick
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
Pete Hegseth
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
Lee Zeldin
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
$1.4M Vol.
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$1.2M Vol.
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
December 31
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
September 30
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$1.1M Vol.
Will Trump be impeached by...?
December 31, 2027
63%
Yes
63%
No
37%
June 30, 2027
53%
Yes
53%
No
47%
December 31, 2026
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$1.0M Vol.
Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$997k Vol.
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$824k Vol.
Weed rescheduled by...?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$815k Vol.
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Japan
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
Germany
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
Saudi Arabia
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
Canada
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
Italy
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
Portugal
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
$663k Vol.
US military draft authorized in 2026?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$532k Vol.
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by...?
December 31
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
September 30
93%
Yes
93%
No
7%
$514k Vol.
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$485k Vol.
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Roger Stone
27%
Yes
27%
No
73%
Donald Brodie
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
Stefan Brodie
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
Ryan Salame
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
Matt Gaetz
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
Keonne Rodriguez
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
$478k Vol.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
21%
chance
Yes
No
$463k Vol.
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Candidate O
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate P
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate R
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate S
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Candidate T
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$456k Vol.
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
98%
chance
Yes
No
$455k Vol.
Who will be arrested before 2027?
John Brennan
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
Mahmoud Khalil
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
Susan Rice
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
James Clapper
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
Brandon Johnson
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
$451k Vol.
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
93%
Yes
93%
No
7%
María Corina Machado
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
Marco Rubio
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
No Head of State
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Dinorah Figuera
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Pete Hegseth
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$403k Vol.
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$342k Vol.
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$325k Vol.
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