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Venezuela
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro
59%
Yes
59%
No
41%
Delcy Rodríguez
41%
Yes
41%
No
59%
No Head of State
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Frank Donovan
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Pete Hegseth
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Marco Rubio
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$97.5M Vol.
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 31
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
September 30
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
$6.5M Vol.
US strike on Mexico by...?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$3.5M Vol.
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$3.4M Vol.
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
16%
chance
Yes
No
$2.2M Vol.
Maduro Prison Time?
No prison time
55%
Yes
55%
No
45%
60+
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
<20
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
20–40
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
40–60
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$892k Vol.
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$656k Vol.
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
93%
Yes
93%
No
7%
María Corina Machado
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
Marco Rubio
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
No Head of State
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Dinorah Figuera
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Pete Hegseth
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$403k Vol.
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$277k Vol.
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$180k Vol.
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$157k Vol.
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$150k Vol.
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$115k Vol.
Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?
September 30
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
December 31
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
$6k Vol.
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