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Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
63%
Yes
63%
No
37%
Republican Party
38%
Yes
38%
No
62%
$5.3M Vol.
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤47
36%
Yes
36%
No
64%
48
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
49
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
50
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
51
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
52
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$3.0M Vol.
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$1.7M Vol.
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$192k Vol.
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$179k Vol.
Which bills will become law in 2026?
AI-chip export licensing
32%
Yes
32%
No
68%
Export-control chip security
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
Data center utility cost protection
23%
Yes
23%
No
77%
NO FAKES Act
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
FISA Section 702 reauthorization
15%
Yes
15%
No
85%
Film/TV production expensing
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
$169k Vol.
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
December 31, 2026
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
September 30, 2026
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$118k Vol.
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
70%
chance
Yes
No
$104k Vol.
How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
4-6
98%
Yes
98%
No
2%
7-9
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$97k Vol.
How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
3
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
4
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$77k Vol.
Blue wave in 2026?
84%
chance
Yes
No
$77k Vol.
How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
10-12
94%
Yes
94%
No
6%
13-15
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$54k Vol.
Blue tsunami in 2026?
53%
chance
Yes
No
$45k Vol.
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?
October 31
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
October 9
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
October 2
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
September 25
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$39k Vol.
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$38k Vol.
How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
0
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
1
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$31k Vol.
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$26k Vol.
Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
John Cornyn
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
John Curtis
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
Darline Graham
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
Bill Cassidy
98%
Yes
98%
No
2%
Thom Tillis
98%
Yes
98%
No
2%
Rand Paul
98%
Yes
98%
No
2%
$24k Vol.
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$23k Vol.
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$23k Vol.
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$22k Vol.
Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?
December 31
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
September 30
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$17k Vol.
Government shutdown by October 1?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$16k Vol.
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$15k Vol.
Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence
Thom Tillis
90%
Yes
90%
No
10%
Dan Sullivan
72%
Yes
72%
No
28%
John Cornyn
67%
Yes
67%
No
33%
John Fetterman
59%
Yes
59%
No
41%
John Curtis
54%
Yes
54%
No
46%
Bill Cassidy
54%
Yes
54%
No
46%
$7k Vol.
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?
38%
chance
Yes
No
$5k Vol.
Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?
December 31
54%
Yes
54%
No
46%
September 30
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$5k Vol.
Speaker of the House after the midterms?
Hakeem Jeffries
79%
Yes
79%
No
21%
Mike Johnson
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
Pete Aguilar
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
Katherine Clark
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
Jim Jordan
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
Steve Scalise
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$4k Vol.
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$1k Vol.
Next US Senate Minority Leader?
Person D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person G
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person H
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person I
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$26 Vol.
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